Lens vs Sporting CP prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Lens vs Sporting CP, 2026-10-13, UEFA Champions League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.06
MODEL OVER 2.5
59%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
62%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
5
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens (1) | 37.5% | 38.3% | 2.61 | trending_up+0.8 pp |
| Draw (X) | 25.8% | 27% | 3.71 | trending_up+1.1 pp |
| Sporting CP (2) | 36.7% | 34.8% | 2.87 | trending_down-1.9 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Lens 1 - 1 Sporting CP
11.0%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Lens
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 10-7
Lyon2-1
Standard Liege2-0
AS Monaco1-2
Le Mans2-2
Slavia Prague3-2
Sporting CP
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · goals 11-5
Braga3-1
Arouca2-2
FC Famalicao1-1
Galatasaray3-1
C.D. Nacional2-0Head-to-head
No recent meetings in the feed.
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Lens 1 - 1 Sporting CP (11.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 111.0%
- 2 - 18.5%
- 1 - 28.3%
- 1 - 07.3%
- 0 - 17.1%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Sporting CPNext matches of Lens
Paris FC
Lille
MarseilleNext matches of Sporting CP
Académico de Viseu
Casa Pia
MoreirenseMore matches on this day
Sabah FKVSSlavia PragueUEFA Champions League
ArsenalVSLilleUEFA Champions League
Atlético MadridVSManchester United
UEFA Champions League- GalatasarayVSBarcelona
UEFA Champions League 
InternazionaleVSClub Brugge
UEFA Champions League
RB LeipzigVSPSV Eindhoven
UEFA Champions League
Viking FKVSBayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
VillarrealVSNapoli
UEFA Champions League
Our model gives Lens win 39%, draw 25%, Sporting CP win 37%. over 2.5 goals 59%. both teams to score 62%. expected goals 1.55 - 1.50. largest gap to the market: Lens win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.