Arsenal vs Lille prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Arsenal vs Lille, 2026-10-13, UEFA Champions League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal (1) | 79.4% | 80% | 1.25 | trending_up+0.6 pp |
| Draw (X) | 13.7% | 13.6% | 7.35 | trending_flat-0.1 pp |
| Lille (2) | 6.9% | 6.4% | 15.75 | trending_down-0.5 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Arsenal 2 - 0 Lille
12.8%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Arsenal
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 9-6
Leeds United2-1
Brighton & Hove Albion0-3
Ipswich Town4-2
Sunderland2-0
Napoli1-0
Lille
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 8-6
Le Havre AC1-0
Zulte-Waregem2-1
Nice1-2
Troyes2-0
Real Betis2-3Head-to-head
No recent meetings in the feed.
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Arsenal 2 - 0 Lille (12.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 012.8%
- 3 - 011.1%
- 1 - 09.8%
- 2 - 18.6%
- 3 - 17.5%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by LilleNext matches of Arsenal
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Our model gives Arsenal win 78%, draw 14%, Lille win 7%. over 2.5 goals 64%. both teams to score 46%. expected goals 2.60 - 0.68. largest gap to the market: Arsenal win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.