Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Le Mans vs Toulouse, 2026-10-16, French Ligue 1, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.00
MODEL OVER 2.5
58%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
61%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
4
X2 (Toulouse or draw)
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans (1) | 32.2% | 30.7% | 3.26 | trending_down-1.6 pp |
| Draw (X) | 26.4% | 26.1% | 3.84 | trending_flat-0.4 pp |
| Toulouse (2) | 41.3% | 43.2% | 2.31 | trending_up+1.9 pp |
Algorithmic Value
X2 (Toulouse or draw)
Our probability: 67%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Le Mans 1 - 1 Toulouse
11.1%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Le Mans
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 7-9
Paris Saint-Germain1-3
Guingamp1-2
Lorient2-1
Lens2-2
Nice1-1
Toulouse
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 9-10
AS Monaco2-2
Pau2-3
Le Havre AC3-2Lorient2-2
Lille0-1Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Le Mans 1 - 1 Toulouse (11.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 111.1%
- 1 - 28.9%
- 0 - 17.9%
- 2 - 17.9%
- 1 - 07.0%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by ToulouseNext matches of Le Mans
AJ Auxerre
TroyesAS MonacoNext matches of Toulouse
Troyes
Marseille
StrasbourgMore matches on this day
Çorum FK
Heerenveen
Eintracht Frankfurt
Frosinone
Deportivo
Our model gives Le Mans win 34%, draw 25%, Toulouse win 42%. over 2.5 goals 58%. both teams to score 61%. expected goals 1.41 - 1.59. largest gap to the market: Le Mans win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.