Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Frosinone vs Sassuolo, 2026-10-16, Italian Serie A, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.44
MODEL OVER 2.5
67%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
68%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
Both teams to score (GG)
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone (1) | 37.7% | 39.1% | 2.56 | trending_up+1.4 pp |
| Draw (X) | 26% | 25.5% | 3.92 | trending_down-0.5 pp |
| Sassuolo (2) | 36.2% | 35.4% | 2.83 | trending_down-0.9 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Both teams to score (GG)
Our probability: 68%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Frosinone 1 - 1 Sassuolo
9.5%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Frosinone
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 8-7
Napoli0-3
Benevento2-1
Como2-0
Genoa1-1
Venezia3-2
Sassuolo
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 8-8
AC Milan1-1
Monza1-2
Juventus3-2
Bologna2-2Frosinone1-1Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Frosinone 1 - 1 Sassuolo (9.5%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 19.5%
- 2 - 18.2%
- 1 - 28.1%
- 2 - 27.0%
- 1 - 05.6%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by SassuoloNext matches of Frosinone
Atalanta
Lecce
TorinoNext matches of Sassuolo
Como
Lazio
FiorentinaMore matches on this day
Çorum FK
Heerenveen
Eintracht Frankfurt
Le Mans
Deportivo
Our model gives Frosinone win 39%, draw 23%, Sassuolo win 38%. over 2.5 goals 67%. both teams to score 68%. expected goals 1.73 - 1.71. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.