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Deportivo vs Levante prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Deportivo vs Levante, 2026-10-16, Spanish LALIGA, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/SPANISH LALIGA/2026-10-16
stadiumSPANISH LALIGA•19:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS19:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.72

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

51%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

54%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

20%28%35%43%50%05:0011:3014:0016:30
1 DeportivoX2 Levante
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Deportivo (1)45.5%44.2%2.27trending_down-1.3 pp
Draw (X)27.7%27.5%3.64trending_flat-0.2 pp
Levante (2)26.9%28.3%3.53trending_up+1.5 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Deportivo 1 - 1 Levante

PROBABILITY

11.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Deportivo
46%2.162.01
Draw
26%3.873.50
Levante
28%3.583.60
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Deportivo or draw
72%1.391.28
Levante or draw
54%1.861.72
Either team wins (no draw)
74%1.351.28
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
76%1.321.28
Under 1.5 goals
24%4.133.75
Over 2.5 goals
51%1.961.90
Under 2.5 goals
49%2.041.90
Over 3.5 goals
29%3.463.20
Under 3.5 goals
71%1.411.36
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
54%1.841.75
Not both score (NG)
46%2.202.00
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER44%
add_circleEither team wins (no draw)
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.07
BUILDER43%
add_circleUnder 3.5 goals
add_circleNot both score (NG)
Indicative odds: 2.07
BUILDER42%
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
add_circleBoth score (GG)
Indicative odds: 2.19
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Deportivo

Deportivo

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 7-8

WDLDL
LAReal Sociedad2-3
DHReal Betis1-1
LHSevilla0-1
DAGetafe1-1
WAVillarreal3-2
Levante

Levante

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 11-12

WDLLD
DHSevilla3-3
LAVillarreal1-3
LHBarcelona2-4
DAMálaga0-0
WHReal Betis5-2

Head-to-head

2025-01-25
Deportivo1 - 2Levante
2024-10-24
Levante2 - 1Deportivo
2018-01-27
Deportivo2 - 2Levante
2017-08-26
Levante2 - 2Deportivo
2016-03-19
Deportivo2 - 1Levante
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Team comparison

#108Power Index 51.6
Power Ranking
#92 ▲1Power Index 53.8
€125m12th in the league
Squad value
€88m16th in the league
Antonio Hidalgosince 1 Jul 2025 · 55 games · 1.76 pts/game
Head coach
Luís Castrosince 20 Dec 2025 · 30 games · 1.30 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
46%Market 46%
Draw (X)
26%Market 27%
Away win (2)
28%Market 27%
Over 2.5 goals
51%Market 50%
Both teams to score
54%Market: —
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Deportivo 1 - 1 Levante (11.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 111.9%
  2. 1 - 010.3%
  3. 2 - 19.3%
  4. 2 - 08.0%
  5. 0 - 17.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Levante
Goals scored by Deportivo
01234506.67.74.41.70.50.1110.311.96.92.70.80.228.09.35.42.10.60.134.24.82.81.10.30.141.61.91.10.40.10.050.50.60.30.10.00.0

Next matches of Deportivo

24/10/2026 · ESP.1AwayAtlético Madrid
2/11/2026 · ESP.1HomeOsasuna
7/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayEspanyol

Next matches of Levante

21/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeAthletic Club
25/10/2026 · ESP.1AwayReal Sociedad
31/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeAtlético Madrid

More matches on this day

Our model gives Deportivo win 46%, draw 26%, Levante win 28%. over 2.5 goals 51%. both teams to score 54%. expected goals 1.56 - 1.16. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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