Netherlands vs Serbia prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Netherlands vs Serbia, 2026-10-04, UEFA Nations League, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
Netherlands
Serbia
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
4.01
MODEL OVER 2.5
76%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
58%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
0
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Netherlands 3 - 0 Serbia
8.8%
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Netherlands 3 - 0 Serbia (8.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 3 - 08.8%
- 2 - 08.6%
- 3 - 18.2%
- 2 - 18.0%
- 4 - 06.8%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
More matches on this day
Our model gives Netherlands win 80%, draw 12%, Serbia win 8%. over 2.5 goals 76%. both teams to score 58%. expected goals 3.08 - 0.93. largest gap to the market: Netherlands win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.