Israel vs Republic of Ireland prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Republic of Ireland vs Israel, 2026-10-04, UEFA Nations League, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
Republic of Ireland
Israel
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.55
MODEL OVER 2.5
47%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
51%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
0
Under 9.5 corners
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.
Algorithmic Value
Under 9.5 corners
Expected corners: Republic of Ireland 4.6, Israel 3.3, total 7.8 (line 9.5).
Corners-for rate vs average: Republic of Ireland x1.19, Israel x0.90 (sample 24 and 24 equivalent matches).
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Republic of Ireland 1 - 1 Israel
12.4%
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Republic of Ireland 1 - 1 Israel (12.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 112.4%
- 1 - 011.5%
- 2 - 19.1%
- 2 - 08.5%
- 0 - 18.4%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
More matches on this day
Our model gives Republic of Ireland win 46%, draw 27%, Israel win 27%. over 2.5 goals 47%. both teams to score 51%. expected goals 1.48 - 1.08. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.