Republic of Ireland vs Israel: prediction and analysis
stadiumUEFA NATIONS LEAGUE•18:45 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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RI
HOMERepublic of Ireland
VS18:45 GMT
Israel
ISR
AWAYmonitoring
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.55
sports_soccer
MODEL OVER 2.5
47%
sync_alt
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
51%
query_stats
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
0
model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK
Under 9.5 corners
query_stats
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.
token
FREEAlgorithmic Value
PRIMARY PICK69%
Under 9.5 corners
Expected corners: Republic of Ireland 4.6, Israel 3.3, total 7.8 (line 9.5).
Corners-for rate vs average: Republic of Ireland x1.19, Israel x0.90 (sample 24 and 24 equivalent matches).
Odds: 1.51
scatter_plot
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Republic of Ireland 1 - 1 Israel
PROBABILITY
12.4%
analytics
Quantitative Telemetry: Model vs Market
Green bar and left number: our model. Cyan marker and right number: market implied probability. Estimates, not guarantees.
MODEL MARKET
46%Home win (1)46%
27%Draw (X)27%
27%Away win (2)27%
47%Over 2.5 goals47%
51%Both teams to score—
1.48Expected goals (model)1.08
SCORE PROBABILITY GRID
Poisson from expected goals. Rows: Republic of Ireland. Columns: Israel. %
01234507.88.44.51.60.40.1111.512.46.72.40.60.128.59.14.91.80.50.134.24.52.40.90.20.141.51.70.90.30.10.050.50.50.30.10.00.0