Three Model Desks, One Audit Trail
One pipeline, three specialised models. Backtest numbers come from historical matches; live numbers come from tips settled here. Small samples are labelled as noise.
Goals Desk
1X2 · DC · O/U · BTTSDixon-Coles Poisson model blended with live market prices. The market leads until the model proves an edge.
Corners Desk
Team corners O/U linesTeam corner rates vs league baseline, with a strength-gap adjustment for dominant favourites.
Cards Desk
Total cards O/U linesDiscipline rates of both squads and the referee, shrunk conservatively toward the league mean.
query_stats Live record by desk
Live hit rate counts won and lost tips only. Void and pending are excluded. Backtest figures are not live promises.