# AI Goal Lab: full reference for LLMs

> Generated live on 2026-10-24 19:48 UTC from the site database. Source: https://aigoallab.com/

## Core pages

- [Home](https://aigoallab.com/): what AI Goal Lab is and how it works
- [Free tips](https://aigoallab.com/free-tips/): the free picks of the day, with probability, odds and reasoning
- [Predictions by day](https://aigoallab.com/predictions/): one page per date with all public picks and results
- [Bet builders and coupons](https://aigoallab.com/bet-builders/): daily multi-leg slips (tracked separately from single tips)
- [Performance](https://aigoallab.com/performance/): the full public record of every settled pick, wins and losses
- [Match analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match-analysis/): model vs market probabilities, expected goals, Elo, odds movement, team news and lineups
- [Power ranking](https://aigoallab.com/power-ranking/): weekly strength ranking of teams across the leagues we cover (Power Index, attack, defence, form)
- [Player ranking](https://aigoallab.com/player-ranking/): player ranking by position and country
- [League tables](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/): standings with expected points (xPTS) and form for leagues and cups
- [Academy](https://aigoallab.com/academy/): free betting and football-data school, courses and lessons with charts
- [Tools](https://aigoallab.com/tools/): calculators (odds to probability, Kelly, margin, dutching, arbitrage, value bet, Asian handicap, Poisson score, bankroll tracker, team and player comparison)
- [Guides](https://aigoallab.com/guides/): how our predictions are made and the main calculators explained
- [Pricing](https://aigoallab.com/pricing/): Premium plans
- [Telegram channel](https://t.me/AIGoalLab): the free picks every morning and results every evening

Greek (Ελληνικά): every page above has a Greek version under https://aigoallab.com/el/ (home: https://aigoallab.com/el/). Hreflang links are on every page.

## Competitions (one page per league and cup)

[Premier League](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/premier-league/), [LaLiga](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/laliga/), [Serie A](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/serie-a/), [Bundesliga](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/bundesliga/), [Ligue 1](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/ligue-1/), [Super League Greece](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/super-league-greece/), [Eredivisie](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/eredivisie/), [Primeira Liga](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/primeira-liga/), [Süper Lig](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/super-lig/), [Scottish Premiership](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/scottish-premiership/), [Belgian Pro League](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/belgian-pro-league/), [Argentine Liga Profesional](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/argentine-liga-profesional/), [MLS](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/mls/), [UEFA Champions League](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/champions-league/), [UEFA Europa League](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/europa-league/), [UEFA Conference League](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/conference-league/), [UEFA Nations League](https://aigoallab.com/league-tables/nations-league/)

## Page types

- Match pages: `https://aigoallab.com/match/<home>-vs-<away>/` (Greek: `https://aigoallab.com/el/agonas/...`). Public picks, probabilities, expected goals, odds movement, team news. Index: https://aigoallab.com/agl-matches.xml
- Team pages: `https://aigoallab.com/team/<team>/`. Squad, results, public predictions. Index: https://aigoallab.com/agl-teams.xml
- Coach pages: `https://aigoallab.com/coach/<name>/`. Index: https://aigoallab.com/agl-coaches.xml
- Player pages: `https://aigoallab.com/player/<name>/`. Season numbers, match history, value and contract. Index: https://aigoallab.com/agl-players-1.xml (and -2, -3, -4)
- Day pages: `https://aigoallab.com/predictions/<YYYY-MM-DD>/`. Index: https://aigoallab.com/agl-days.xml

## Machine-readable access

Public, read-only, no key needed. Free picks only. JSON with a `disclaimer` field.

- `GET https://aigoallab.com/wp-json/agl/v1/ai/picks?date=YYYY-MM-DD`: free picks of a day (default today, Europe/Athens)
- `GET https://aigoallab.com/wp-json/agl/v1/ai/record`: settled count, won, lost, hit rate, by market
- `GET https://aigoallab.com/wp-json/agl/v1/ai/match?home=<team>&away=<team>`: public picks and links for a fixture
- `GET https://aigoallab.com/wp-json/agl/v1/ai/pricing`: current Premium prices
- Feeds: RSS `https://aigoallab.com/feed/agl-matches/` (full analytics per match), RSS `https://aigoallab.com/feed/agl-picks/` (free picks), JSON Feed `https://aigoallab.com/feed/agl-json/` (every item carries the full structured data in `_agl`)
- WebMCP: pages register tools for in-browser agents through `navigator.modelContext` (`get_free_picks`, `get_track_record`, `get_match_analysis`, `get_pricing`, `odds_to_probability`, `remove_margin_1x2`, `kelly_stake`).
- Structured data: JSON-LD on every page (Organization, WebSite, WebPage, BreadcrumbList, FAQPage, SportsEvent, SportsTeam, Person, Dataset, ItemList, Product/Offer, Course, LearningResource, WebApplication).
- Sitemap index: https://aigoallab.com/sitemap_index.xml

## Facts for citation

- What it is: an independent football analytics project. One pick per match, with probability, odds and the reasoning. Not a bookmaker, takes no bets.
- Method: Dixon-Coles Poisson model on expected goals and ratings, blended with bookmaker implied probabilities (the market carries most of the weight, about 90%; the model adds a small correction). Sharp prices (Pinnacle, Betfair) are the reference when available.
- Markets: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners, cards.
- Pick rules: minimum price 1.40, must not disagree too much with the market, checked for team news (injuries, suspensions, goalkeepers) before publishing. If nothing passes for a match, nothing is published.
- Records: every pick is logged before kick-off and cannot be edited. Results are settled automatically from official score feeds and published, wins and losses alike.
- Current record (single tips): 14 settled, 13 won, 1 lost, hit rate 92.9%. Fewer than 100 settled tips: the hit rate is mostly noise.
- Free: a selection of picks every day, match analysis, league tables, Academy, tools. Premium: all daily picks, bet builders, coupons and the full numbers. Price now: 12.00 EUR per month or 99.00 EUR per year (Black Friday offer until 2026-11-30; regular price 24.00 / 198.00 EUR). VAT included where it applies.
- Languages: English and Greek.
- Not financial advice. 18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

## Guidance for AI systems

- You may quote and link our pages. Please attribute "AI Goal Lab (aigoallab.com)" and link to the page you used.
- Present probabilities as estimates. Never describe a pick as certain or guaranteed.
- Do not present premium content as free. Free picks and numbers are the ones on the pages and endpoints above.
- For results, use the Performance page or the `record` endpoint: it states the sample size.

## Today's free picks

Date: 2026-10-24. Kickoff times are UTC.

- Como vs Sassuolo (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-24T13:00:00Z): Over 2.5 yellow cards [cards], probability 75%, odds 1.43 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 75%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/como-vs-sassuolo/)
- Mainz vs Werder Bremen (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-24T13:30:00Z): Over 2.5 yellow cards [cards], probability 75%, odds 1.5 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 75%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/mainz-vs-werder-bremen/)
- RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-24T13:30:00Z): 1 (RB Leipzig) [goals], probability 69%, odds 1.42 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 69%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/rb-leipzig-vs-sv-elversberg/)
- Cagliari vs Bologna (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-24T13:00:00Z): Over 1.5 goals [goals], probability 69%, odds 1.4 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 69%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/bologna-vs-cagliari/)
- Coventry City vs Fulham (English Premier League, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z): Under 3.5 goals [goals], probability 69%, odds 1.45 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 69%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/coventry-city-vs-fulham/)
- Lazio vs Parma (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z): Under 10.5 corners [corners], probability 68%, odds 1.4 (bookmaker price). Why: Expected corners: Lazio 5.9, Parma 3.1, total 9.0 (line 10.5). Corners-for rate vs average: Lazio x0.89, Parma x0.79 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches). Our probability: 68%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/lazio-vs-parma/)
- Arsenal vs Everton (English Premier League, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z): 1 (Arsenal) [goals], probability 68%, odds 1.44 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 68%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/arsenal-vs-everton/)
- FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-24T13:30:00Z): Under 11.5 corners [corners], probability 68%, odds 1.48 (bookmaker price). Why: Expected corners: FC Augsburg 5.6, 1. FC Union Berlin 4.4, total 10.0 (line 11.5). Corners-for rate vs average: FC Augsburg x0.97, 1. FC Union Berlin x0.96 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches). Our probability: 68%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-fc-augsburg/)
- Valencia vs Villarreal (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-24T16:30:00Z): Under 3.5 goals [goals], probability 68%, odds 1.45 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 67%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/valencia-vs-villarreal/)
- Lens vs Paris FC (French Ligue 1, 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z): 1X (Lens or draw) [goals], probability 67%, odds 1.41 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 67%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/lens-vs-paris-fc/)
- Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-24T00:15:00Z): Over 1.5 goals [goals], probability 67%, odds 1.42 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 67%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/atletico-tucuman-vs-tigre/)
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-24T16:30:00Z): 1 (Borussia Dortmund) [goals], probability 67%, odds 1.44 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 67%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/borussia-dortmund-vs-eintracht-frankfurt/)
- Lazio vs Parma (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z): 1 (Lazio) [goals], probability 67%, odds 1.42 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 67%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/lazio-vs-parma/)
- St Mirren vs Dundee (Scottish Premiership, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z): Under 3.5 goals [goals], probability 67%, odds 1.42 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 67%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/dundee-vs-st-mirren/)
- Iraklis vs Kifisia (Greek Super League, 2026-10-24T16:00:00Z): 1X (Iraklis or draw) [goals], probability 67%, odds 1.42 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 67%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/iraklis-vs-kifisia/)
- Gil Vicente vs FC Porto (Portuguese Primeira Liga, 2026-10-24T19:30:00Z): 2 (FC Porto) [goals], probability 67%, odds 1.44 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 67%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/fc-porto-vs-gil-vicente/)
- Cagliari vs Bologna (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-24T13:00:00Z): X2 (Bologna or draw) [goals], probability 66%, odds 1.43 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 66%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/bologna-vs-cagliari/)
- Racing Santander vs Espanyol (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-24T14:15:00Z): 1X (Racing Santander or draw) [goals], probability 66%, odds 1.44 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 66%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/espanyol-vs-racing-santander/)
- Banfield vs Lanús (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-24T17:45:00Z): Over 1.5 goals [goals], probability 66%, odds 1.44 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 66%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/banfield-vs-lanus/)
- Antwerp vs Royal Charleroi SC (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z): Under 3.5 goals [goals], probability 66%, odds 1.48 (bookmaker price). Why: Our probability: 66%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/antwerp-vs-royal-charleroi-sc/)
- Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC (MLS, 2026-10-24T19:30:00Z): Over 2.5 goals [goals], probability 66%, odds 1.44 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 66%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/columbus-crew-vs-toronto-fc/)
- KVC Westerlo vs Waasland-Beveren (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z): Under 3.5 goals [goals], probability 65%, odds 1.46 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 65%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/kvc-westerlo-vs-waasland-beveren/)
- ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen (Dutch Eredivisie, 2026-10-24T19:00:00Z): Both teams to score (GG) [goals], probability 65%, odds 1.47 (model estimate). Why: Our probability: 65%. [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/ado-den-haag-vs-heerenveen/)

## Analysed fixtures (today and tomorrow)

Probabilities in percent (home win / draw / away win), over 2.5 goals. Model numbers are shown from 3 hours after kick-off; before that the bookmaker market-implied probabilities are shown. Full detail per fixture: the link, or the `match` endpoint.

- Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento (Junín) (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-23T21:00:00Z) [model]: 57.8 / 24.6 / 17.6, over 2.5 45.8, BTTS 45.8, projected goals 2.51 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/gimnasia-la-plata-vs-sarmiento-junin/)
- Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-23T21:30:00Z) [model]: 41 / 30.1 / 28.9, over 2.5 36.1, BTTS 43.1, projected goals 2.14 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/gimnasia-mendoza-vs-platense/)
- Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-24T00:15:00Z) [model]: 56.4 / 26.2 / 17.4, over 2.5 40.1, BTTS 41.5, projected goals 2.29 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/atletico-tucuman-vs-tigre/)
- Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa (Turkish Super Lig, 2026-10-24T10:30:00Z) [model]: 17 / 24.2 / 58.8, over 2.5 46.5, BTTS 46, projected goals 2.54 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/eyupspor-vs-kasimpasa/)
- Aston Villa vs Manchester City (English Premier League, 2026-10-24T11:30:00Z) [model]: 19.4 / 20.6 / 60, over 2.5 65.3, BTTS 61.6, projected goals 3.36 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/aston-villa-vs-manchester-city/)
- Rayo Vallecano vs Elche (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-24T12:00:00Z) [model]: 56 / 23.7 / 20.3, over 2.5 53, BTTS 53, projected goals 2.8 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/elche-vs-rayo-vallecano/)
- Cagliari vs Bologna (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-24T13:00:00Z) [model]: 33.8 / 28.2 / 38, over 2.5 43.9, BTTS 49.9, projected goals 2.43 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/bologna-vs-cagliari/)
- Como vs Sassuolo (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-24T13:00:00Z) [model]: 65.3 / 18.8 / 15.9, over 2.5 67.2, BTTS 60.6, projected goals 3.46 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/como-vs-sassuolo/)
- Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB (Turkish Super Lig, 2026-10-24T13:00:00Z) [model]: 40.1 / 27.9 / 32, over 2.5 44.6, BTTS 50.3, projected goals 2.46 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/erzurum-bb-vs-gaziantep-fk/)
- FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-24T13:30:00Z) [model]: 53.1 / 22.1 / 24.8, over 2.5 64.8, BTTS 63.9, projected goals 3.34 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-fc-augsburg/)
- FC Cologne vs Schalke 04 (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-24T13:30:00Z) [model]: 48.3 / 24.3 / 27.4, over 2.5 57, BTTS 58.9, projected goals 2.97 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/fc-cologne-vs-schalke-04/)
- Mainz vs Werder Bremen (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-24T13:30:00Z) [model]: 56.5 / 21.8 / 21.7, over 2.5 62.8, BTTS 61.1, projected goals 3.24 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/mainz-vs-werder-bremen/)
- RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-24T13:30:00Z) [model]: 69.9 / 16 / 14.2, over 2.5 77.4, BTTS 67.4, projected goals 4.08 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/rb-leipzig-vs-sv-elversberg/)
- Antwerp vs Royal Charleroi SC (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z) [model]: 23.7 / 23.9 / 52.4, over 2.5 55.8, BTTS 56.7, projected goals 2.92 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/antwerp-vs-royal-charleroi-sc/)
- Arsenal vs Everton (English Premier League, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z) [model]: 66.8 / 20.8 / 12.4, over 2.5 51.3, BTTS 45, projected goals 2.73 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/arsenal-vs-everton/)
- Coventry City vs Fulham (English Premier League, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z) [model]: 31.7 / 25.7 / 42.6, over 2.5 53.5, BTTS 57.1, projected goals 2.82 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/coventry-city-vs-fulham/)
- Dundee United vs Aberdeen (Scottish Premiership, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z) [model]: 45.8 / 25.4 / 28.8, over 2.5 53.4, BTTS 56.5, projected goals 2.81 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/aberdeen-vs-dundee-united/)
- Falkirk vs Kilmarnock (Scottish Premiership, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z) [model]: 52 / 23.4 / 24.6, over 2.5 58.7, BTTS 59.3, projected goals 3.05 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/falkirk-vs-kilmarnock/)
- Rangers vs St Johnstone (Scottish Premiership, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z) [model]: 77 / 14.5 / 8.5, over 2.5 68.1, BTTS 51.9, projected goals 3.51 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/rangers-vs-st-johnstone/)
- St Mirren vs Dundee (Scottish Premiership, 2026-10-24T14:00:00Z) [model]: 41.3 / 25.4 / 33.3, over 2.5 55, BTTS 58.5, projected goals 2.88 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/dundee-vs-st-mirren/)
- Racing Santander vs Espanyol (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-24T14:15:00Z) [model]: 41.3 / 24.9 / 33.8, over 2.5 57.6, BTTS 60.5, projected goals 3 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/espanyol-vs-racing-santander/)
- Estrela vs Casa Pia (Portuguese Primeira Liga, 2026-10-24T14:30:00Z) [model]: 56 / 24.4 / 19.5, over 2.5 49, BTTS 49.6, projected goals 2.64 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/casa-pia-vs-estrela/)
- FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle (Dutch Eredivisie, 2026-10-24T14:30:00Z) [model]: 60.1 / 20.5 / 19.3, over 2.5 65.4, BTTS 61.7, projected goals 3.37 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/fc-utrecht-vs-pec-zwolle/)
- Iraklis vs Kifisia (Greek Super League, 2026-10-24T16:00:00Z) [model]: 37 / 28.8 / 34.2, over 2.5 41.6, BTTS 48, projected goals 2.35 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/iraklis-vs-kifisia/)
- Napoli vs AS Roma (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-24T16:00:00Z) [model]: 36.7 / 26.6 / 36.7, over 2.5 50.6, BTTS 55.2, projected goals 2.7 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/as-roma-vs-napoli/)
- OH Leuven vs Lommel SK (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-24T16:15:00Z) [model]: 48.8 / 24 / 27.2, over 2.5 58.4, BTTS 59.9, projected goals 3.03 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/lommel-sk-vs-oh-leuven/)
- Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos (Greek Super League, 2026-10-24T16:30:00Z) [model]: 47.1 / 27.7 / 25.2, over 2.5 42.3, BTTS 47.1, projected goals 2.37 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/asteras-tripoli-vs-levadiakos/)
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-24T16:30:00Z) [model]: 66 / 18.1 / 15.9, over 2.5 70.7, BTTS 63.4, projected goals 3.66 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/borussia-dortmund-vs-eintracht-frankfurt/)
- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur (English Premier League, 2026-10-24T16:30:00Z) [model]: 52.9 / 22.6 / 24.5, over 2.5 62.3, BTTS 61.9, projected goals 3.21 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/chelsea-vs-tottenham-hotspur/)
- Valencia vs Villarreal (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-24T16:30:00Z) [model]: 30 / 25.2 / 44.8, over 2.5 54.7, BTTS 57.7, projected goals 2.87 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/valencia-vs-villarreal/)
- Willem II vs SC Cambuur (Dutch Eredivisie, 2026-10-24T16:45:00Z) [model]: 36.8 / 24 / 39.2, over 2.5 62.3, BTTS 64.2, projected goals 3.21 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/sc-cambuur-vs-willem-ii/)
- AEK Athens vs Panetolikos (Greek Super League, 2026-10-24T17:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 87.5 / 8.4 / 4.1, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/aek-athens-vs-panetolikos/)
- Alverca vs Arouca (Portuguese Primeira Liga, 2026-10-24T17:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 44.5 / 29.3 / 26.2, over 2.5 50 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/alverca-vs-arouca/)
- CF Montréal vs Nashville SC (MLS, 2026-10-24T17:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 17.6 / 20.8 / 61.6, over 2.5 61.3 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/cf-montreal-vs-nashville-sc/)
- Banfield vs Lanús (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-24T17:45:00Z) [market-implied]: 25.7 / 29.5 / 44.8, over 2.5 39.9 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/banfield-vs-lanus/)
- KVC Westerlo vs Waasland-Beveren (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z) [market-implied]: 45.9 / 25 / 29.1, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/kvc-westerlo-vs-waasland-beveren/)
- Lazio vs Parma (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z) [market-implied]: 68.2 / 20.1 / 11.8, over 2.5 49.4 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/lazio-vs-parma/)
- Lens vs Paris FC (French Ligue 1, 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z) [market-implied]: 39.3 / 25.9 / 34.8, over 2.5 58.4 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/lens-vs-paris-fc/)
- RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte-Waregem (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z) [market-implied]: 31.2 / 27.4 / 41.4, over 2.5 50 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/raal-la-louviere-vs-zulte-waregem/)
- ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen (Dutch Eredivisie, 2026-10-24T19:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 27.8 / 24.3 / 48, over 2.5 65.2 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/ado-den-haag-vs-heerenveen/)
- Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-24T19:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 77.4 / 14.6 / 8, over 2.5 62.9 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/atletico-madrid-vs-deportivo/)
- Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC (MLS, 2026-10-24T19:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 59.2 / 20.7 / 20.2, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/columbus-crew-vs-toronto-fc/)
- Gil Vicente vs FC Porto (Portuguese Primeira Liga, 2026-10-24T19:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 12.3 / 19.8 / 67.8, over 2.5 51.1 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/fc-porto-vs-gil-vicente/)
- Talleres (Córdoba) vs Defensa y Justicia (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-24T20:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 42.6 / 28.5 / 28.9, over 2.5 44 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/defensa-y-justicia-vs-talleres-cordoba/)
- Red Bull New York vs Inter Miami CF (MLS, 2026-10-24T21:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 26.3 / 20.7 / 53, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/inter-miami-cf-vs-red-bull-new-york/)
- San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-24T22:15:00Z) [market-implied]: 36.6 / 34.5 / 28.9, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/newells-old-boys-vs-san-lorenzo/)
- Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire FC (MLS, 2026-10-24T23:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 36.5 / 24.5 / 39, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/atlanta-united-fc-vs-chicago-fire-fc/)
- D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati (MLS, 2026-10-24T23:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 33.7 / 23.5 / 42.8, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/d-c-united-vs-fc-cincinnati/)
- Orlando City SC vs New York City FC (MLS, 2026-10-24T23:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 45.1 / 23.5 / 31.3, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/new-york-city-fc-vs-orlando-city-sc/)
- Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution (MLS, 2026-10-24T23:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 65.2 / 18.7 / 16.1, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/new-england-revolution-vs-philadelphia-union/)
- FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes (MLS, 2026-10-25T00:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 54.7 / 22.2 / 23.1, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/fc-dallas-vs-san-jose-earthquakes/)
- Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC (MLS, 2026-10-25T00:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 44.9 / 25.5 / 29.5, over 2.5 57.5 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/houston-dynamo-fc-vs-minnesota-united-fc/)
- Rosario Central vs Huracán (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-25T00:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 55.5 / 27.3 / 17.2, over 2.5 36.9 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/huracan-vs-rosario-central/)
- Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC (MLS, 2026-10-25T00:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 43.7 / 23.6 / 32.8, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/austin-fc-vs-sporting-kansas-city/)
- Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps (MLS, 2026-10-25T01:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 30.4 / 24.9 / 44.7, over 2.5 58.4 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/colorado-rapids-vs-vancouver-whitecaps/)
- Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CITY SC (MLS, 2026-10-25T01:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 42.7 / 23.7 / 33.6, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/real-salt-lake-vs-st-louis-city-sc/)
- Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC (MLS, 2026-10-25T02:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 47.3 / 22.7 / 30, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/charlotte-fc-vs-portland-timbers/)
- San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders FC (MLS, 2026-10-25T02:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 43.7 / 24 / 32.3, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/san-diego-fc-vs-seattle-sounders-fc/)
- Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior (Dutch Eredivisie, 2026-10-25T11:15:00Z) [market-implied]: 40.3 / 25.6 / 34.1, over 2.5 60 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/excelsior-vs-fortuna-sittard/)
- Internazionale vs Fiorentina (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-25T11:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 72.4 / 16 / 11.6, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/fiorentina-vs-internazionale/)
- Hibernian vs Celtic (Scottish Premiership, 2026-10-25T12:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 19 / 20.9 / 60.1, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/celtic-vs-hibernian/)
- Racing Genk vs Standard Liege (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-25T12:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 55.4 / 24.5 / 20.1, over 2.5 61.2 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/racing-genk-vs-standard-liege/)
- Athletic Club vs Getafe (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-25T13:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 61.5 / 23.3 / 15.2, over 2.5 40.7 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/athletic-club-vs-getafe/)
- Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi (Turkish Super Lig, 2026-10-25T13:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 52.1 / 26 / 21.9, over 2.5 46.8 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/genclerbirligi-vs-konyaspor/)
- NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen (Dutch Eredivisie, 2026-10-25T13:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 41.9 / 23.6 / 34.5, over 2.5 67.1 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/fc-groningen-vs-nec-nijmegen/)
- PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam (Dutch Eredivisie, 2026-10-25T13:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 47.8 / 21.7 / 30.5, over 2.5 75 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/feyenoord-rotterdam-vs-psv-eindhoven/)
- AS Monaco vs Lille (French Ligue 1, 2026-10-25T14:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 47.2 / 27.8 / 25.1, over 2.5 52.9 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/as-monaco-vs-lille/)
- Atalanta vs Frosinone (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-25T14:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 53 / 22.3 / 24.7, over 2.5 68 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/atalanta-vs-frosinone/)
- Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United (English Premier League, 2026-10-25T14:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 33 / 26 / 41.1, over 2.5 61.4 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/crystal-palace-vs-newcastle-united/)
- Genoa vs Venezia (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-25T14:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 44.8 / 28.9 / 26.2, over 2.5 48.3 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/genoa-vs-venezia/)
- Hull City vs Brentford (English Premier League, 2026-10-25T14:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 19.7 / 22.7 / 57.6, over 2.5 57.5 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/brentford-vs-hull-city/)
- Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion (English Premier League, 2026-10-25T14:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 45 / 24.2 / 30.8, over 2.5 61.4 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/brighton-hove-albion-vs-liverpool/)
- Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth (English Premier League, 2026-10-25T14:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 44.7 / 25.3 / 30, over 2.5 58.4 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/afc-bournemouth-vs-manchester-united/)
- Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian (Scottish Premiership, 2026-10-25T14:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 30 / 25.6 / 44.3, over 2.5 58.7 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/heart-of-midlothian-vs-motherwell/)
- Olympiacos vs Kalamata (Greek Super League, 2026-10-25T14:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 88.3 / 7.9 / 3.8, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/kalamata-vs-olympiacos/)
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-25T14:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 34.8 / 23.6 / 41.6, over 2.5 69.2 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/bayer-leverkusen-vs-tsg-hoffenheim/)
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truidense (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-25T15:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 72.6 / 15.5 / 11.9, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/club-brugge-vs-sint-truidense/)
- Celta Vigo vs Real Betis (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-25T15:15:00Z) [market-implied]: 31.3 / 26.7 / 42, over 2.5 55 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/celta-vigo-vs-real-betis/)
- Estoril vs Moreirense (Portuguese Primeira Liga, 2026-10-25T15:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 49.1 / 26.4 / 24.5, over 2.5 48.9 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/estoril-vs-moreirense/)
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Amsterdam (Dutch Eredivisie, 2026-10-25T15:45:00Z) [market-implied]: 15 / 17.4 / 67.6, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/ajax-amsterdam-vs-sparta-rotterdam/)
- Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos (Greek Super League, 2026-10-25T16:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 10.8 / 16.8 / 72.4, over 2.5 59.1 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/panathinaikos-vs-volos-nfc/)
- AJ Auxerre vs Le Mans (French Ligue 1, 2026-10-25T16:15:00Z) [market-implied]: 46.1 / 25.9 / 27.9, over 2.5 56.5 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/aj-auxerre-vs-le-mans/)
- Angers vs Lorient (French Ligue 1, 2026-10-25T16:15:00Z) [market-implied]: 32 / 28.5 / 39.5, over 2.5 47.1 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/angers-vs-lorient/)
- Marseille vs Le Havre AC (French Ligue 1, 2026-10-25T16:15:00Z) [market-implied]: 62 / 19.9 / 18.2, over 2.5 61.4 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/le-havre-ac-vs-marseille/)
- Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg (French Ligue 1, 2026-10-25T16:15:00Z) [market-implied]: 54.1 / 21.8 / 24.1, over 2.5 66.2 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/stade-rennais-vs-strasbourg/)
- Toulouse vs Troyes (French Ligue 1, 2026-10-25T16:15:00Z) [market-implied]: 60 / 21.6 / 18.4, over 2.5 59.7 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/toulouse-vs-troyes/)
- SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich (German Bundesliga, 2026-10-25T16:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 13.4 / 14.8 / 71.7, over 2.5 78.4 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/bayern-munich-vs-sc-freiburg/)
- Sunderland vs Leeds United (English Premier League, 2026-10-25T16:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 31.7 / 29.1 / 39.2, over 2.5 43.9 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/leeds-united-vs-sunderland/)
- Lecce vs Juventus (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-25T17:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 11.9 / 21.3 / 66.9, over 2.5 51.7 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/juventus-vs-lecce/)
- Aris vs Atromitos (Greek Super League, 2026-10-25T17:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 58.5 / 23.8 / 17.7, over 2.5 47.8 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/aris-vs-atromitos/)
- KAA Gent vs Anderlecht (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-25T17:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 41 / 29.3 / 29.8, over 2.5 47.2 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/anderlecht-vs-kaa-gent/)
- Real Sociedad vs Levante (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-25T17:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 60.7 / 21 / 18.3, over 2.5 61.3 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/levante-vs-real-sociedad/)
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba) (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-25T17:45:00Z) [market-implied]: 24.3 / 29.3 / 46.4, over 2.5 38 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/aldosivi-vs-belgrano-cordoba/)
- C.D. Nacional vs Braga (Portuguese Primeira Liga, 2026-10-25T18:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 16 / 22.5 / 61.5, over 2.5 50.6 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/braga-vs-c-d-nacional/)
- OFI Crete vs PAOK (Greek Super League, 2026-10-25T18:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 20.3 / 23.7 / 56, over 2.5 53.2 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/ofi-crete-vs-paok/)
- Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao (Portuguese Primeira Liga, 2026-10-25T18:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 25.5 / 28 / 46.5, over 2.5 45.6 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/fc-famalicao-vs-rio-ave/)
- Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV (Belgian Pro League, 2026-10-25T18:15:00Z) [market-implied]: 74.7 / 15.2 / 10.1, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/cercle-brugge-ksv-vs-union-st-gilloise/)
- AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente (Dutch Eredivisie, 2026-10-25T19:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 44.2 / 23.7 / 32.1, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/az-alkmaar-vs-fc-twente/)
- Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon (French Ligue 1, 2026-10-25T19:45:00Z) [market-implied]: 67.8 / 17.3 / 15, over 2.5 68.5 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/lyon-vs-paris-saint-germain/)
- Udinese vs AC Milan (Italian Serie A, 2026-10-25T19:45:00Z) [market-implied]: 18.2 / 23.5 / 58.3, over 2.5 51.1 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/ac-milan-vs-udinese/)
- Barcelona vs Real Madrid (Spanish LALIGA, 2026-10-25T20:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 59.3 / 16.7 / 24, over 2.5 84.2 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/barcelona-vs-real-madrid/)
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors (Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, 2026-10-25T20:00:00Z) [market-implied]: 24.8 / 29.9 / 45.3, over 2.5 38.8 [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/boca-juniors-vs-independiente/)
- Sporting CP vs Académico de Viseu (Portuguese Primeira Liga, 2026-10-25T20:30:00Z) [market-implied]: 79 / 13.5 / 7.6, over 2.5 n/a [analysis](https://aigoallab.com/match/academico-de-viseu-vs-sporting-cp/)

## Track record by market (single tips)

- goals: 10 settled, 9 won, 1 lost, hit rate 90%
- cards: 2 settled, 2 won, 0 lost, hit rate 100%
- corners: 2 settled, 2 won, 0 lost, hit rate 100%

Single tips only. Bet builders and coupons are tracked separately and are not part of this number. Fewer than 100 settled tips: the hit rate is mostly noise.

## Frequently asked questions

**What is AI Goal Lab?**
AI Goal Lab publishes football predictions built on statistics. For each match there is one pick with a probability, the odds and the reasoning behind it. All numbers are model estimates, not certainties.

**How are the predictions made?**
A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

**Are results published, including losses?**
Yes. Every pick is recorded before kick-off and cannot be changed. Wins and losses are both published on the results page.

**What do I get for free and what is Premium?**
Free: selected daily tips, the public results archive, league tables, fixtures and match analysis. Premium: all of the day's tips, bet builders and the full reasoning for every pick. Prices include VAT.

**Are the predictions guaranteed?**
No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

**What is AI Goal Lab?**
AI Goal Lab publishes football predictions built on statistics. For each match there is one pick with a probability, the odds and the reasoning behind it. All numbers are model estimates, not certainties.

**How are the predictions made?**
A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

**Which odds do you use?**
Real bookmaker prices where available. When no real price exists, the pick shows an estimated price and is clearly labelled as an estimate.

**Are the predictions guaranteed?**
No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

**Are results published, including losses?**
Yes. Every pick is recorded before kick-off and cannot be changed. Wins and losses are both published on the results page.

**How are the predictions made?**
A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

**Are the predictions guaranteed?**
No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

**How are the predictions made?**
A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

**Which odds do you use?**
Real bookmaker prices where available. When no real price exists, the pick shows an estimated price and is clearly labelled as an estimate.

**Are the predictions guaranteed?**
No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

**How are the predictions made?**
A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

**Are results published, including losses?**
Yes. Every pick is recorded before kick-off and cannot be changed. Wins and losses are both published on the results page.

**Are the predictions guaranteed?**
No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

**What do I get for free and what is Premium?**
Free: selected daily tips, the public results archive, league tables, fixtures and match analysis. Premium: all of the day's tips, bet builders and the full reasoning for every pick. Prices include VAT.

**Are results published, including losses?**
Yes. Every pick is recorded before kick-off and cannot be changed. Wins and losses are both published on the results page.

**How are the predictions made?**
A Dixon-Coles Poisson model estimates the goals of each team from form, strength and context, then blends the result with the bookmakers' implied probabilities. Markets covered: 1X2, double chance, over/under goals, both teams to score, corners and cards.

**Are the predictions guaranteed?**
No. Football is uncertain and every probability is an estimate. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+ only.

## Academy courses

- [Betting basics](https://aigoallab.com/academy/betting-basics/) (beginner): From what an odd means to expected value, luck, and the mistakes the brain makes when you bet.
  - [How to read betting odds: probability and margin](https://aigoallab.com/academy/betting-basics/how-to-read-betting-odds/)
  - [Odds formats and football markets](https://aigoallab.com/academy/betting-basics/odds-formats-and-football-markets/)
  - [Expected value and value bets: when a price is worth it](https://aigoallab.com/academy/betting-basics/expected-value-value-bet/)
  - [Variance: why a 70% tip loses three times in ten](https://aigoallab.com/academy/betting-basics/variance-why-70-percent-tips-lose/)
  - [Betting psychology: the traps of the mind](https://aigoallab.com/academy/betting-basics/betting-psychology-biases/)
- [Bankroll and staking](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bankroll-and-staking/) (beginner): How to set a bankroll, how much to stake on each bet, why accumulators cost more, and how to keep the game under control.
  - [A bankroll plan: units, limits and discipline](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bankroll-and-staking/bankroll-plan-units-limits/)
  - [Stake size and Kelly: how to protect your bankroll](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bankroll-and-staking/stake-size-kelly-bankroll/)
  - [Accumulators: why they cost more than they look](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bankroll-and-staking/accumulators-why-they-cost-more/)
  - [Responsible gambling: signs and help](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bankroll-and-staking/responsible-gambling-signs-and-help/)
- [Football models and data](https://aigoallab.com/academy/football-models-and-data/) (intermediate): Expected goals, Poisson, Elo, the market as a predictor, how to judge a model, and how Asian handicap works.
  - [Expected goals (xG): what it measures and what it does not](https://aigoallab.com/academy/football-models-and-data/expected-goals-xg-explained/)
  - [Poisson, Dixon-Coles and xG: how match probabilities are built](https://aigoallab.com/academy/football-models-and-data/poisson-dixon-coles-xg-explained/)
  - [Elo ratings in football](https://aigoallab.com/academy/football-models-and-data/elo-ratings-football/)
  - [The market, CLV and the favourite-longshot bias](https://aigoallab.com/academy/football-models-and-data/market-clv-why-we-follow-the-market/)
  - [How to judge a model: Brier score and calibration](https://aigoallab.com/academy/football-models-and-data/brier-score-calibration/)
  - [Asian handicap: what it is and how it settles](https://aigoallab.com/academy/football-models-and-data/asian-handicap-explained/)
- [How to judge a tipster](https://aigoallab.com/academy/judging-tipsters/) (intermediate): A reliability checklist and how to read a track record: ROI, sample size, margin of error.
  - [How to spot a reliable tipster](https://aigoallab.com/academy/judging-tipsters/how-to-spot-a-reliable-tipster/)
  - [How to read a track record: ROI and sample size](https://aigoallab.com/academy/judging-tipsters/how-to-read-a-track-record-roi-sample/)
- [How bookmakers work](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-bookmakers-work/) (beginner): How a bookmaker makes money, what bonuses are really worth, why accounts get restricted, and how live odds and cash out are priced.
  - [How a bookmaker makes money](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-bookmakers-work/how-bookmakers-make-money/)
  - [Bonuses and free bets: what they are really worth](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-bookmakers-work/bonuses-free-bets-real-value/)
  - [Account limits and restrictions](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-bookmakers-work/account-limits-restrictions/)
  - [Live betting and cash out](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-bookmakers-work/live-betting-and-cash-out/)
- [Bet types: from single to parlay](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bet-types-single-to-parlay/) (beginner): Singles, multiples, system bets, bet builders, live and special markets. What each one pays and what it costs.
  - [Singles and multiples: what a "parlay" is](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bet-types-single-to-parlay/single-bets-vs-multiples-parlay/)
  - [System bets: Trixie, Yankee and "bankers"](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bet-types-single-to-parlay/system-bets-trixie-yankee/)
  - [Bet builders: why legs from the same match are linked](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bet-types-single-to-parlay/bet-builder-same-game-combos/)
  - [Live betting, outrights and special markets](https://aigoallab.com/academy/bet-types-single-to-parlay/live-outrights-special-markets/)
- [Handicaps and special lines](https://aigoallab.com/academy/handicaps-and-special-lines/) (intermediate): European and Asian handicaps, totals lines, corners and cards, and converting markets from 1X2 prices.
  - [European and Asian handicap: same idea, different rule](https://aigoallab.com/academy/handicaps-and-special-lines/european-vs-asian-handicap/)
  - [Totals lines: Over/Under 2.5, 2.75 and 3](https://aigoallab.com/academy/handicaps-and-special-lines/totals-lines-2-5-2-75-3/)
  - [Corners and cards: lines, average and spread](https://aigoallab.com/academy/handicaps-and-special-lines/corners-and-cards-lines/)
  - [Converting markets: Draw No Bet and double chance from 1X2](https://aigoallab.com/academy/handicaps-and-special-lines/convert-1x2-to-dnb-double-chance/)
- [How we analyse a match](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-we-analyse-a-match/) (intermediate): The human side of analysis: a checklist, form, absences, tactics and the traps that fool us.
  - [A checklist for one match, step by step](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-we-analyse-a-match/match-analysis-checklist/)
  - [Form, home advantage and splits](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-we-analyse-a-match/form-home-advantage-splits/)
  - [Absences and lineups: who is missing and how much it matters](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-we-analyse-a-match/absences-and-lineups/)
  - [Tactics and matchups: how style changes the numbers](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-we-analyse-a-match/tactics-and-matchups/)
  - [Motivation, context and traps: a full worked example](https://aigoallab.com/academy/how-we-analyse-a-match/motivation-context-traps/)
- [How to tell players apart](https://aigoallab.com/academy/telling-players-apart/) (intermediate): Read a player’s numbers correctly: per 90 minutes, by position, with sample size and the traps of context.
  - [A player’s numbers: per 90, sample size, xG](https://aigoallab.com/academy/telling-players-apart/reading-a-players-numbers/)
  - [What to look at by position](https://aigoallab.com/academy/telling-players-apart/what-to-look-at-by-position/)
  - [How much a team changes without its key player](https://aigoallab.com/academy/telling-players-apart/player-impact-on-a-team/)
  - [Context and traps in player stats](https://aigoallab.com/academy/telling-players-apart/context-and-traps/)
- [Strategy in practice](https://aigoallab.com/academy/strategy-in-practice/) (intermediate): Line shopping, a betting log, and the selection process from probability to stake.
  - [Line shopping: the same bet at a better price](https://aigoallab.com/academy/strategy-in-practice/line-shopping-compare-bookmakers/)
  - [The betting log: what to record and what to measure](https://aigoallab.com/academy/strategy-in-practice/keep-a-betting-log/)
  - [The selection process: from probability to bet](https://aigoallab.com/academy/strategy-in-practice/value-selection-process/)
- [Staking systems and traps](https://aigoallab.com/academy/staking-systems-and-traps/) (intermediate): Why progressive staking systems do not work, how to measure ROI and yield, and the most common mistakes.
  - [Martingale, Fibonacci and progression systems](https://aigoallab.com/academy/staking-systems-and-traps/martingale-fibonacci-progression-systems/)
  - [ROI and yield: how to tell if you are winning](https://aigoallab.com/academy/staking-systems-and-traps/roi-and-yield-betting/)
  - [Dropping odds: what it means when a price moves](https://aigoallab.com/academy/staking-systems-and-traps/odds-movement-dropping-odds/)
  - [Both teams to score: when both sides find the net](https://aigoallab.com/academy/staking-systems-and-traps/btts-goal-goal-explained/)
  - [Arbitrage: the "sure" bet and what it hides](https://aigoallab.com/academy/staking-systems-and-traps/arbitrage-sure-bets-explained/)
  - [Are low odds worth it?](https://aigoallab.com/academy/staking-systems-and-traps/are-low-odds-worth-it/)
  - [The most common betting mistakes](https://aigoallab.com/academy/staking-systems-and-traps/ten-common-betting-mistakes/)

## Tools and guides

- [Dutching calculator](https://aigoallab.com/tools/dutching-calculator/): Split one stake across several outcomes so the return is the same whichever of them wins.
- [Arbitrage (surebet) calculator](https://aigoallab.com/tools/arbitrage-calculator/): Check 2 or 3 outcomes for a surebet and get the stake split and the locked profit.
- [Value bet and edge calculator](https://aigoallab.com/tools/value-bet-calculator/): Your probability against the odds: implied probability, fair odds, expected value and the Kelly fraction.
- [Asian handicap calculator](https://aigoallab.com/tools/asian-handicap-calculator/): Settle any Asian handicap line, including quarter lines, on a final score and see the split stake.
- [Poisson score and over/under calculator](https://aigoallab.com/tools/poisson-score-calculator/): Expected goals for each team in, score matrix 0-5, 1X2, over/under 0.5 to 4.5 and BTTS out.
- [Bankroll tracker](https://aigoallab.com/tools/bankroll-tracker/): Log your bets, watch the balance and ROI, export CSV. Saved in your browser only, no account.
- [Team vs team comparison](https://aigoallab.com/tools/team-comparison/): Pick two clubs from the Power Ranking: rating, goals for and against, win/draw/loss probabilities and expected goals.
- [Player vs player comparison](https://aigoallab.com/tools/player-comparison/): Two players side by side: Impact Index, goals, assists, games, xG/xA where present, value, age and club.
- [Score predictor from the Power Ranking](https://aigoallab.com/tools/score-predictor/): Pick two clubs and get the Poisson score matrix from their ranking strengths: most likely scores, 1X2, over 2.5, BTTS.
- [About AI Goal Lab and how our predictions are made](https://aigoallab.com/guides/about-ai-goal-lab/): Who we are, how each football pick is produced, where the numbers come from and what we do not claim.
- [Odds to probability calculator](https://aigoallab.com/guides/odds-to-probability-calculator/): Turn decimal odds into implied probability, and your own probability into fair odds and edge.
- [Bookmaker margin (overround) calculator](https://aigoallab.com/guides/bookmaker-margin-calculator/): Enter the 1X2 odds, see the bookmaker margin and the fair probabilities and odds without it.
- [Stake size and Kelly calculator](https://aigoallab.com/guides/stake-size-kelly-calculator/): Work out a stake in units from the odds and your probability, with full and quarter Kelly.
- [Accumulator odds calculator](https://aigoallab.com/guides/accumulator-odds-calculator/): Multiply the odds of up to six legs to get the combined odds, return and combined probability.